Intelligence

Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?June 2624h move+12¢Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 3124h move−15¢Israeli parliament dissolved by...?July 151h move+14¢Israeli parliament dissolved by...?July 151h move+13¢Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $7024h move+46¢Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?July 124h move+26¢Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $6024h move+47¢Israeli parliament dissolved by...?July 155m move−8¢Israeli parliament dissolved by...?July 151h move−10¢China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6¢China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6¢Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $7024h move+46¢Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $5524h move+20¢Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 311h move−5¢Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?July 124h move+26¢China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6¢Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $6024h move+47¢What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?(LOW) $6524h move+20¢Israeli parliament dissolved by...?July 151h move+14¢Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?July 124h move+26¢China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6¢What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?(LOW) $6524h move+20¢Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 3124h move−15¢Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?June 2624h move+12¢What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?(LOW) $6524h move+21¢China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6¢Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?Wes Streeting24h move−19¢Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?Wes Streeting24h move−19¢Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 3124h move−15¢Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 311h move−5¢

Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?June 2624h move+12¢Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 3124h move−15¢Israeli parliament dissolved by...?July 151h move+14¢Israeli parliament dissolved by...?July 151h move+13¢Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $7024h move+46¢Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?July 124h move+26¢Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $6024h move+47¢Israeli parliament dissolved by...?July 155m move−8¢Israeli parliament dissolved by...?July 151h move−10¢China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6¢China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6¢Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $7024h move+46¢Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $5524h move+20¢Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 311h move−5¢Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?July 124h move+26¢China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6¢Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $6024h move+47¢What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?(LOW) $6524h move+20¢Israeli parliament dissolved by...?July 151h move+14¢Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?July 124h move+26¢China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6¢What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?(LOW) $6524h move+20¢Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 3124h move−15¢Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?June 2624h move+12¢What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?(LOW) $6524h move+21¢China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6¢Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?Wes Streeting24h move−19¢Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?Wes Streeting24h move−19¢Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 3124h move−15¢Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 311h move−5¢

Intelligence

Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?June 2624h move+12¢Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 3124h move−15¢Israeli parliament dissolved by...?July 151h move+14¢Israeli parliament dissolved by...?July 151h move+13¢Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $7024h move+46¢Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?July 124h move+26¢Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $6024h move+47¢Israeli parliament dissolved by...?July 155m move−8¢Israeli parliament dissolved by...?July 151h move−10¢China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6¢China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6¢Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $7024h move+46¢Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $5524h move+20¢Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 311h move−5¢Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?July 124h move+26¢China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6¢Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $6024h move+47¢What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?(LOW) $6524h move+20¢Israeli parliament dissolved by...?July 151h move+14¢Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?July 124h move+26¢China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6¢What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?(LOW) $6524h move+20¢Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 3124h move−15¢Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?June 2624h move+12¢What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?(LOW) $6524h move+21¢China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6¢Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?Wes Streeting24h move−19¢Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?Wes Streeting24h move−19¢Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 3124h move−15¢Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 311h move−5¢

Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?June 2624h move+12¢Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 3124h move−15¢Israeli parliament dissolved by...?July 151h move+14¢Israeli parliament dissolved by...?July 151h move+13¢Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $7024h move+46¢Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?July 124h move+26¢Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $6024h move+47¢Israeli parliament dissolved by...?July 155m move−8¢Israeli parliament dissolved by...?July 151h move−10¢China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6¢China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6¢Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $7024h move+46¢Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $5524h move+20¢Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 311h move−5¢Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?July 124h move+26¢China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6¢Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $6024h move+47¢What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?(LOW) $6524h move+20¢Israeli parliament dissolved by...?July 151h move+14¢Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?July 124h move+26¢China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6¢What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?(LOW) $6524h move+20¢Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 3124h move−15¢Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?June 2624h move+12¢What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?(LOW) $6524h move+21¢China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6¢Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?Wes Streeting24h move−19¢Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?Wes Streeting24h move−19¢Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 3124h move−15¢Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 311h move−5¢

Edition · June 25, 2026

Markets

World Cup Winner
France Leads
Volume 24h: $37.4M
France19¢+1
Argentina15¢+3
Spain14¢
Straight of Hormuz
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31 Leads
Volume 24h: $2.0M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 3149¢+1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June4¢−3
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom Leads
Volume 24h: $885K
Gavin Newsom21¢−2
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez10¢
Jon Ossoff9¢
Fed Decision in July?
No Change in Fed Interest Rates After July 2026 Meeting Leads
Volume 24h: $724K
No Change in Fed Interest Rates After July 2026 Meeting76¢+3
Fed Increase Interest Rates by 25 bps After July 2026 Meeting24¢−2
Fed Decrease Interest Rates by 25 bps After The July 2026 Meeting1¢
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
No Fed Rate Cuts Leads
Volume 24h: $639K
No Fed Rate Cuts81¢
1 Fed Rate Cut14¢+2
2 Fed Rate Cuts3¢

Showing 1-5 of 72 markets

Page 1

Polymarket · Macro

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

88¢−3Past Week

Volume

$55K

Liquidity

$35K

Momentum

↓ Falling

US x China tariff agreement by December 31? · Mondael