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Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 3124h move−14%Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?Wes Streeting24h move−18%Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?24h move−10%Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?24h move−10%China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6%China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6%Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $6024h move+47%Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?July 124h move+27%Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $7024h move+50%What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?(LOW) $6524h move+18%Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?24h move−10%Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $5524h move+25%What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?(LOW) $6524h move+18%Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 3124h move−14%Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?24h move−10%What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?(LOW) $6524h move+18%China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6%Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?June 2624h move+13%Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?June 2624h move+12%Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?Ed Miliband1h move−9%Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $555m move+5%Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?24h move−10%China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6%Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 3124h move−14%China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6%Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?July 124h move+28%Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $7024h move+49%Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 3124h move−14%Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?June 2624h move+12%Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 3124h move−13%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 3124h move−14%Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?Wes Streeting24h move−18%Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?24h move−10%Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?24h move−10%China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6%China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6%Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $6024h move+47%Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?July 124h move+27%Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $7024h move+50%What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?(LOW) $6524h move+18%Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?24h move−10%Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $5524h move+25%What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?(LOW) $6524h move+18%Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 3124h move−14%Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?24h move−10%What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?(LOW) $6524h move+18%China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6%Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?June 2624h move+13%Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?June 2624h move+12%Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?Ed Miliband1h move−9%Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $555m move+5%Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?24h move−10%China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6%Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 3124h move−14%China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?Between 4.6% and 4.9%1h move+6%Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?July 124h move+28%Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?(LOW) $7024h move+49%Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 3124h move−14%Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?June 2624h move+12%Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 3124h move−13%

Edition · June 25, 2026

Markets

  • World Cup Winner

    France Leads

    Volume 24h: $38.0M

    France19%+1
    Argentina15%+3
    Spain14%
  • Straight of Hormuz

    Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31 Leads

    Volume 24h: $1.9M

    Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 3149%+2
    Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June4%−3
  • Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

    Gavin Newsom Leads

    Volume 24h: $893K

    Gavin Newsom21%−2
    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez10%
    Jon Ossoff9%
  • Presidential Election Winner 2028

    JD Vance Leads

    Volume 24h: $747K

    JD Vance20%−1
    Gavin Newsom15%
    Marco Rubio14%−1
  • Fed Decision in July?

    No Change in Fed Interest Rates After July 2026 Meeting Leads

    Volume 24h: $742K

    No Change in Fed Interest Rates After July 2026 Meeting76%+3
    Fed Increase Interest Rates by 25 bps After July 2026 Meeting23%−2
    Fed Decrease Interest Rates by 25 bps After The July 2026 Meeting1%

Showing 1-5 of 72 markets

Page 1

Total Volume $43.3M ·24h Volume $1.9M ·Liquidity $1.2M

Straight of Hormuz

49%+2Past Week

Showing 1-2 of 2

1 of 1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31
49%+3+2$543K$805K1%$689K$192K$881K$34K$379K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June
4%+2−3$1.4M$348K0%$20K$476K$497K$12$931
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Market Share (2 outcomes shown) · Total 53%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 3149%Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June4%
Market Share (2 outcomes shown) · Total 53%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 3149%Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June4%